ΣL Gold Composite - 8th November 2023 | @ 55 Days | + 7.56%
Last trade: + 7.56% | 'A' class signal detected in Sigma-L Gold composite (XAU vs USD/EUR/CAD/GBP/CHF/AUD/NZD/SGD/JPY). Avg. wavelength of 55 days - 15 iterations since Aug 2021. Currently peaking
ΣL Cycle Summary
A meteoric rise has typified the latest up-leg of this excellent component in gold, plotted against 9 fiat currencies and analysed with a time domain average via our composite below. The pullback now will likely define if the low in early October was of larger magnitude with the trough of this component expected toward the end of November. Within the composite, the New Zealand Dollar, Japanese Yen and Canadian Dollar were among the weakest fiat currencies, measured in gold across the up-leg of this wave. Against the US Dollar, a major benchmark, the gold price rose 7.54% over the same period.
Trade Update
See also: Live ΣL Portfolio & History
Summary of the most recent trade enacted with this signal and according to the time prediction detailed in the previous post for this instrument, linked below.
Type: Buy - ΣL Gold Composite 6th October 2023
Entry: 6th October, 2023
Exit: 8th November, 2023
For a composite analysis, each constituent’s respective gain over the period is displayed, in descending order. The average of the constituent gain is also shown.
Constituent Gain:
XAUNZD (8.84%)
XAUJPY (8.56%)
XAUCAD (8.50%)
XAUUSD (7.54%)
XAUGBP (7.47%)
XAUAUD (6.91%)
XAUSGD (6.86%)
XAUEUR (6.76%)
XAUCHF (6.64%)
Composite Average Gain:
7.56%
Current Signal Status
Defining characteristics of the component detected over the sample period.
Detected Signal Class: A - learn more
Average Wavelength: 55.06 Days
Completed Iterations: 15
Time Frequency Analysis
Time frequency charts (learn more) below will typically show the cycle of interest against price, the bandpass output alone and the bandwidth of the component in the time frequency heatmap, framed in white. If a second chart is displayed it will usually show high-passed price with the extracted signal overlaid for visual clarity.
Current Signal Detail & Targets
Here we give more detail on the signal relative to speculative price, given the detected attributes of the component. In most cases the time target to hold a trade for is more important, given we focus on cycles in financial markets. Forthcoming trough and peak ranges are based upon the frequency modulation in the sample (learn more).
Phase: Peaking / Peaked
FM: +- 1 Day
AM: N/A (Composite)
Next Trough Range: 29th November - 1st December, 2023
Next Peak Range: 26th December - 28th December, 2023
Sigma-L Recommendation: Sell
Time Target: ~ 30th November, 2023
Current Signal Phase
This is ‘how far along’ the cycle is in it’s period at now time and is related to the predicted price action direction.
Current Signal Frequency Modulation (FM)
This is how much, on average, the signal detected varies in frequency (or wavelength) over the whole sample. A lower variance is better and implies better profitability for the component. Frequency usually modulates relatively slowly and over several iterations.
Current Signal Amplitude Modulation (AM)
This is how much the component gains or loses power (price influence) across the sample, on average. Amplitude modulation can happen quite quickly and certainly is more evident than frequency modulation in financial markets. The more stable the modulation the better.